Guangfa Strategy Review December Politburo Meeting: The change of policy tone "not seen for several years" is more direct to the determination to support the stability of the equity market and the real estate market. Guangfa Strategy Review December Politburo Meeting said that although the draft of the meeting did not involve specific economic target figures, the change of policy tone was "not seen for several years": (1) "Strengthening unconventional countercyclical adjustment" appeared for the first time in the draft of the conference, and we understand that this is likely to mean that the official target of deficit ratio will be unconventional. (2) "Moderately loose monetary policy" has reappeared since July 2010, and it has been "steady" during the period. Even in the 14-15 monetary easing cycle, there was no adjustment of this wording, which paved the way for the expectation of monetary easing in 25 years; (3) The "more active fiscal policy" has reappeared since July 2020. Under the special background of the 20-year epidemic, the official target of deficit ratio in that year was set at 3.6%, which was the highest since 2010. The change of tone after four years also indicates that the deficit space in 25 years is expected to be further opened.Huaxi Securities Interpretation of the Political Bureau Meeting in December: The policy strength showed an upward trend. The Huaxi Securities Research Report pointed out that the release signal of this meeting was positive. Judging from the significant strength of Hong Kong stocks and A50 futures, the content of the meeting greatly exceeded previous market expectations. There are mainly the following aspects: First, the policy tone is more positive. "Strengthening unconventional countercyclical adjustment", which is used to describe countercyclical adjustment for the first time, reflects the upward trend of policy strength. The policy of this year's two sessions is expressed as "strengthening countercyclical and cross-cyclical adjustment of macro policies", the Politburo meeting in July "strengthening countercyclical adjustment" and the Politburo meeting in September "strengthening countercyclical adjustment". From the point of view of change, it gradually turns to counter-cycle instead of cross-cycle, and the intensity is constantly upgrading. Create a follow-up policy for the market that may continue to be introduced until the economy stabilizes and rebounds. At the same time, the meeting did not mention "coordinating the expansion of domestic demand and deepening the structural reform of the supply side", but directly mentioned the expansion of domestic demand, which is also a manifestation of facing the problem more directly and attaching importance to the demand side. Second, as far as finance and money are concerned, this meeting mentioned "implementing a more active fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy", and the modifier "more" was added in front of the active fiscal policy. A similar expression was found in the Politburo meeting in April 2020, "The active fiscal policy should be more active and promising", and then in May, the two sessions formulated a large-scale fiscal combination boxing (deficit ratio 3.6%+, 3.75 trillion new special debts and 1 trillion special national debts). The third is to stabilize the property market and write the stock market into the 2025 goal. The fourth is to pay attention to consumption. The meeting mentioned "vigorously boosting consumption, improving investment efficiency and expanding domestic demand in all directions". It is expected that the policy of promoting consumption will make a breakthrough in scale and direction. Fifth, the meeting also mentioned science and technology (to lead the development of new quality productive forces with scientific and technological innovation and build a modern industrial system), green (to jointly promote carbon reduction, pollution reduction and green growth, and accelerate the overall green transformation of economic and social development) and foreign trade. Emphasizing science and technology, it is clear that the direction of future policy is in the industrial direction led by science and technology. At the same time, for green, because next year is the last year of the 14 th Five-Year Plan, emission reduction and other targets need to be completed. In terms of foreign trade and foreign investment, the meeting mentioned that "it is necessary to expand high-level opening to the outside world and stabilize foreign trade and foreign investment".Market News: Egypt condemns Israel's "further occupation of Syrian land" and believes that entering the buffer zone is an attempt to force a new reality on the ground.
Polls show that the cabinet support rate of Japanese Prime Minister Shi Pomao dropped to 38%. According to reports, the results of a nationwide poll conducted by the agency from 6 to 8 this month showed that the cabinet support rate of Prime Minister Shi Pomao was 38%, which was 3 percentage points lower than the previous poll of the agency. The disapproval rate was 38%, which was 1 percentage point higher than the previous poll.Huafa shares: it is planned to issue convertible corporate bonds of no more than 5.5 billion yuan. Huafa shares announced that the company plans to issue convertible corporate bonds of no more than 5.5 billion yuan to no more than 35 specific targets. Among them, Huafa Group, the controlling shareholder of the company, promised to subscribe for the convertible bonds in cash, and the subscription amount was not less than 29.64% of the actual issuance amount of the convertible bonds and not more than 2.75 billion yuan.Su Hao Hongye: Received a government subsidy of 7,296,200 yuan. Su Hao Hongye announced that the company and its holding subsidiaries recently received a total of about 7,296,200 yuan in government subsidies. Among them, the amount of income-related subsidies is 3.92 million yuan, accounting for 12.01% of the company's latest audited net profit; Another income-related subsidy is 3,376,200 yuan, accounting for 10.35% of the company's latest audited net profit.
COMEX silver rose by 3.00% in the day and is now quoted at $32.54 per ounce.Artes: The shares to be transferred by this inquiry have been fully subscribed. Artes announced that according to the inquiry and subscription on December 9, 2024, the initial transfer price of this inquiry was 11.88 yuan/share. A total of 38 valid quotations were received for this inquiry transfer, covering professional institutional investors such as fund management companies, insurance companies, qualified foreign investors, securities companies and private fund managers. The total number of shares effectively subscribed by institutional investors participating in this inquiry and transfer quotation is 121 million shares, and the corresponding effective subscription multiple is 2.18 times. The shares to be transferred in this inquiry have been fully subscribed, and it is preliminarily determined that there are 23 transferees, and the total number of shares to be transferred is 55,323,300 shares.Kirby, spokesman of US National Security Council: Another aid plan for Ukraine will be launched soon.
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
12-13